Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Combating Distribution Shift for Accurate Time Series Forecasting via Hypernetworks | |
Duan,Wenying1; He,Xiaoxi2; Zhou,Lu3; Thiele,Lothar4; Rao,Hong1 | |
2023-06-03 | |
Conference Name | 28th IEEE International Conference on Parallel and Distributed Systems, ICPADS 2022 |
Source Publication | Proceedings of the International Conference on Parallel and Distributed Systems - ICPADS |
Pages | 900-907 |
Conference Date | 2023-01-10 - 2023-01-12 |
Conference Place | Nanjing, PEOPLES R CHINA |
Author of Source | IEEE Comp Society; Nanjing Univ Posts & Telecommunicat |
Publisher | IEEE Computer Society |
Abstract | Time series forecasting has widespread applications in urban life ranging from air quality monitoring to traffic analysis. However, accurate time series forecasting is challenging because real-world time series suffer from the distribution shift problem, where their statistical properties change over time. Despite extensive solutions to distribution shifts in domain adaptation or generalization, they fail to function effectively in unknown, constantly-changing distribution shifts, which are common in time series. In this paper, we propose Hyper TimeSeries Forecasting (HTSF), a hypernetwork-based framework for accurate time series forecasting under distribution shift. HTSF jointly learns the time-varying distributions and the corresponding forecasting models in an end-to-end fashion. Specifically, HTSF exploits the hyper layers to learn the best characterization of the distribution shifts, generating the model parameters for the main layers to make accurate predictions. We implement HTSF as an extensible framework that can incorporate diverse time series forecasting models such as RNNs. Extensive experiments on 7 benchmarks demonstrate that HTSF achieves state-of-the-art performances. |
Keyword | Distribution Shift Hypernetworks Time Series Forecasting |
DOI | 10.1109/ICPADS56603.2022.00121 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | CPCI-S |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Computer Science ; Engineering |
WOS Subject | Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence ; Computer Science, Hardware & Architecture ; Computer Science, Theory & Methods ; Engineering, Electrical & Electronic |
WOS ID | WOS:000983289900113 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85152950157 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Conference paper |
Collection | DEPARTMENT OF ELECTRICAL AND COMPUTER ENGINEERING |
Corresponding Author | Rao,Hong |
Affiliation | 1.Nanchang University,Nanchang,China 2.University of Macau,Macao 3.The Hong Kong Polytechnic University,Hong Kong 4.Eth Zurich,Zurich,Switzerland |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Duan,Wenying,He,Xiaoxi,Zhou,Lu,et al. Combating Distribution Shift for Accurate Time Series Forecasting via Hypernetworks[C]. IEEE Comp Society; Nanjing Univ Posts & Telecommunicat:IEEE Computer Society, 2023, 900-907. |
APA | Duan,Wenying., He,Xiaoxi., Zhou,Lu., Thiele,Lothar., & Rao,Hong (2023). Combating Distribution Shift for Accurate Time Series Forecasting via Hypernetworks. Proceedings of the International Conference on Parallel and Distributed Systems - ICPADS, 900-907. |
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