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Nomogram for Early Prediction of Parkinson's Disease Based on microRNA Profiles and Clinical Variables
Hou,Xiangqing; Wong,Garry
2023
Source PublicationJournal of Parkinson's disease
ISSN1877-7171
Volume13Issue:4Pages:473-484
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Few efficient and simple models for the early prediction of Parkinson's disease (PD) exists. OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a novel nomogram for early identification of PD by incorporating microRNA (miRNA) expression profiles and clinical indicators. METHODS: Expression levels of blood-based miRNAs and clinical variables from 1,284 individuals were downloaded from the Parkinson's Progression Marker Initiative database on June 1, 2022. Initially, the generalized estimating equation was used to screen candidate biomarkers of PD progression in the discovery phase. Then, the elastic net model was utilized for variable selection and a logistics regression model was constructed to establish a nomogram. Additionally, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and calibration curves were utilized to evaluate the performance of the nomogram. RESULTS: An accurate and externally validated nomogram was constructed for predicting prodromal and early PD. The nomogram is easy to utilize in a clinical setting since it consists of age, gender, education level, and transcriptional score (calculated by 10 miRNA profiles). Compared with the independent clinical model or 10 miRNA panel separately, the nomogram was reliable and satisfactory because the area under the ROC curve achieved 0.72 (95% confidence interval, 0.68-0.77) and obtained a superior clinical net benefit in DCA based on external datasets. Moreover, calibration curves also revealed its excellent prediction power. CONCLUSION: The constructed nomogram has potential for large-scale early screening of PD based upon its utility and precision.

KeywordClinical Variables Decision Curve Analysis Early Prediction Microrna Profiles Nomogram Parkinson’s Disease
DOI10.3233/JPD-225080
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaNeurosciences & Neurology
WOS SubjectNeurosciences
WOS IDWOS:001006065300004
PublisherIOS Press BV
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85163921607
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Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Health Sciences
DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC HEALTH AND MEDICINAL ADMINISTRATION
AffiliationFaculty of Health Sciences,University of Macau,Department of Public Health and Medicinal Administration,China
First Author AffilicationFaculty of Health Sciences
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Hou,Xiangqing,Wong,Garry. Nomogram for Early Prediction of Parkinson's Disease Based on microRNA Profiles and Clinical Variables[J]. Journal of Parkinson's disease, 2023, 13(4), 473-484.
APA Hou,Xiangqing., & Wong,Garry (2023). Nomogram for Early Prediction of Parkinson's Disease Based on microRNA Profiles and Clinical Variables. Journal of Parkinson's disease, 13(4), 473-484.
MLA Hou,Xiangqing,et al."Nomogram for Early Prediction of Parkinson's Disease Based on microRNA Profiles and Clinical Variables".Journal of Parkinson's disease 13.4(2023):473-484.
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