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Effects of soil parameterization on permafrost modeling in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau: A calibration-constrained analysis
Yanhui Zhao1,2; Qiuhong Tang1,2; Tonghua Wu2,3; Liang Gao4; Guojie Hu2,3; Xu Li5; Donghai Zheng6; Xiaoming Wang3
2023-03-21
Source PublicationCold Regions Science and Technology
ISSN0165-232X
Volume210Pages:103833
Abstract

Borehole-measured soil temperatures have been routinely used to calibrate soil parameters in permafrost modeling, although they are sparse in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). A feasible alternative is to calibrate models using land surface temperatures. However, the quantitative impacts of various soil parameterizations on permafrost modeling remain unexplored. To quantify these impacts, two sets of soil parameters (denoted as P and P) were obtained via calibration using borehole temperature measurement and ERA5-Land (the land component of the fifth generation of European Re-Analysis) skin temperature, respectively, and applied to the Geophysical Institute Permafrost Laboratory Version 2 (GIPL 2.0) model. Comparing against the borehole-measured soil temperatures of 4 soil layers, the ERA5-P simulation (with Root Mean Squared Error, i.e., RMSE from 1.4 °C to 3.9 °C) outperform ERA5-P simulation (RMSE from 1.4 °C to 3.9 °C) during 2006–2014. The obtained P and P were then utilized as soil parameters in GIPL 2.0 to model permafrost dynamics for a long period from 1983 to 2019, respectively, using ERA5-Land as forcing data. Simulations revealed significant disparities. In comparison to the simulation using P results using P show that the mean annual soil temperature at 1 m depth was 2.72 °C lower with a 0.01 °C/a (50.0%) lower trend; the active layer thickness was 0.81 m (35.7%) less with a 2.16 cm/a (82.1%) lower trend; the duration of the thawing season at 1 m depth was underestimated by about one month, and the zero-curtain period was about 23 days (37.7%) shorter. The change rates of the zero-curtain period, however, were comparable. This study implies that choosing soil parameterizations is critical for model evaluation against observations and long-term model prediction.

KeywordGipl 2.0 Parameterization Permafrost Qinghai-tibet Plateau
DOI10.1016/j.coldregions.2023.103833
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEngineering ; Geology
WOS SubjectEngineering, Environmental ; Engineering, Civil ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS IDWOS:000966336000001
PublisherELSEVIERRADARWEG 29, 1043 NX AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85150870366
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Science and Technology
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
Corresponding AuthorQiuhong Tang
Affiliation1.Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
2.College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
3.State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, China
4.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, Macao
5.School of Civil Engineering, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China
6.National Tibetan Plateau Data Center, State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Yanhui Zhao,Qiuhong Tang,Tonghua Wu,et al. Effects of soil parameterization on permafrost modeling in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau: A calibration-constrained analysis[J]. Cold Regions Science and Technology, 2023, 210, 103833.
APA Yanhui Zhao., Qiuhong Tang., Tonghua Wu., Liang Gao., Guojie Hu., Xu Li., Donghai Zheng., & Xiaoming Wang (2023). Effects of soil parameterization on permafrost modeling in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau: A calibration-constrained analysis. Cold Regions Science and Technology, 210, 103833.
MLA Yanhui Zhao,et al."Effects of soil parameterization on permafrost modeling in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau: A calibration-constrained analysis".Cold Regions Science and Technology 210(2023):103833.
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