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Prediction of Dissolved Oxygen in Rivers Based on LSTM Model with Improved Attention Mechanism 基于注意力机制优化的 LSTM 河流溶解氧预测模型研究
Zhou, Quan1; Hu, Xuanming2; Wang, Dongkun2; Zhang, Wucai1; Chen, Zhongying1; Wang, Jinpeng1; Wang, Pengyang2; Ren, Xiuwen1
2023-03-06
Source PublicationResearch of Environmental Sciences
ISSN1001-6929
Volume36Issue:6Pages:1135-1146
Abstract

Dissolved oxygen (DO) is a key index of the aquatic environment. A data-driven model for accurately predicting DO will provide scientific and effective technical methods for water environment management. Considering the strong nonlinearity and nonstationarity of river DO time series, a novel river DO concentrations prediction model based on a LSTM method with improved weights dual-stage attention mechanism (DAIW-LSTM Model) was proposed. The model uses spatial attention in the encoder and temporal attention in the decoder, and both encoder and decoder contain a new mechanism of weight optimization in two stages. The model was used to predict the daily average DO at Baiyunlixiba monitoring station, Liuxiheshanzhuang monitoring station and Conghuajiekou monitoring station in the Liuxihe River Basin. A comparative analysis among different baseline models (DA-LSTM, LSTM and Bi-LSTM) was carried out, and the effects of feature weight optimization mechanism and the upstream feature variables input were discussed. The results showed that: (1) Comparing with other baseline models, the accuracy of the proposed DAIW-LSTM model was verified. The SMAPE, MAE and MSE predicted by the DAIW-LSTM model at Baiyunlixiba station were 0.075, 0.611 and 0.712 respectively, which were the best of all models. (2) The second stage could optimize and correct the initial weights of the first stage in the proposed attention weight optimization mechanism. Since the important features such as pH, conductivity, water temperature, and air temperature, were adaptively adjusted in the time series, the prediction accuracy of the proposed DAIW-LSTM model could be improved. (3) Further 9 combination tests with the input of upstream characteristics showed that the performance of the proposed DAIW-LSTM model was still best, it also proved that the importance of upstream stations and feature variables selection. The research shows that the attention weight optimization mechanism makes the model exhibit better applicability and accuracy than other baseline models, which can provide new ideas for surface water quality prediction.

KeywordAttention Mechanism Dissolved Oxygen Prediction Lstm Model Time Series Prediction
DOI10.13198/j.issn.1001-6929.2023.02.18
URLView the original
Language中文Chinese
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85164322280
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionTHE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Corresponding AuthorWang, Pengyang; Ren, Xiuwen
Affiliation1.South China Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Water Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, Guangzhou, 510530, China
2.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, University of Macau, 999078, Macao
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Zhou, Quan,Hu, Xuanming,Wang, Dongkun,等. Prediction of Dissolved Oxygen in Rivers Based on LSTM Model with Improved Attention Mechanism 基于注意力机制优化的 LSTM 河流溶解氧预测模型研究[J]. Research of Environmental Sciences, 2023, 36(6), 1135-1146.
APA Zhou, Quan., Hu, Xuanming., Wang, Dongkun., Zhang, Wucai., Chen, Zhongying., Wang, Jinpeng., Wang, Pengyang., & Ren, Xiuwen (2023). Prediction of Dissolved Oxygen in Rivers Based on LSTM Model with Improved Attention Mechanism 基于注意力机制优化的 LSTM 河流溶解氧预测模型研究. Research of Environmental Sciences, 36(6), 1135-1146.
MLA Zhou, Quan,et al."Prediction of Dissolved Oxygen in Rivers Based on LSTM Model with Improved Attention Mechanism 基于注意力机制优化的 LSTM 河流溶解氧预测模型研究".Research of Environmental Sciences 36.6(2023):1135-1146.
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