Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Asset Movement Forcasting with the Implied Volatility Surface Analysis Based on SABR Model | |
Xu, Shaowei; Huan, Hongxin; Qi, Yuanyuan; Guo, Guoxiang; Yen, Jerome | |
2022 | |
Conference Name | 2022 IEEE 20th International Conference on Industrial Informatics (INDIN) |
Source Publication | IEEE International Conference on Industrial Informatics (INDIN) |
Volume | 2022-July |
Pages | 662-667 |
Conference Date | 25-28 July 2022 |
Conference Place | Perth, Australia |
Author of Source | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. |
Publication Place | USA |
Publisher | IEEE, 345 E 47TH ST, NEW YORK, NY 10017 USA |
Abstract | In financial field, predicting the future price of an asset has always been a hot topic. There are mainly two existing methods: One is to model the trend of asset prices in price prediction. Therefore, this method inevitably has a lag at the inflection point of the asset sequence. The other is to mine market opinion information from the internet to predict the future direction of prices. The challenge with this approach is that unstructured data processing and analysis is difficult. Therefore, we propose a method for asset movement prediction based on SABR [3] model. On the one hand, the market's prediction of asset trends implied in options can be used to solve the hysteresis problem. On the other hand, options data is easy to process and analyze. In this article, we try to use a neural network model to capture the market's view of the future trend of assets hidden in the stochastic volatility surface generated by the stochastic volatility model and establish a mapping relationship with asset prices. The results show that our methods can effectively eliminate the lag of price prediction and improve the accuracy of the prediction. |
Keyword | Asset Movement Prediction Stochastic Volatility Model Sabr Volatility Model Machine Learning |
DOI | 10.1109/INDIN51773.2022.9976114 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | CPCI-S |
Language | 英語English |
WOS ID | WOS:000907121600105 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85145775251 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Conference paper |
Collection | Faculty of Science and Technology DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE |
Corresponding Author | Yen, Jerome |
Affiliation | Faculty of Science and Technology, University of Macau, Macau SAR, China |
First Author Affilication | Faculty of Science and Technology |
Corresponding Author Affilication | Faculty of Science and Technology |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Xu, Shaowei,Huan, Hongxin,Qi, Yuanyuan,et al. Asset Movement Forcasting with the Implied Volatility Surface Analysis Based on SABR Model[C]. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., USA:IEEE, 345 E 47TH ST, NEW YORK, NY 10017 USA, 2022, 662-667. |
APA | Xu, Shaowei., Huan, Hongxin., Qi, Yuanyuan., Guo, Guoxiang., & Yen, Jerome (2022). Asset Movement Forcasting with the Implied Volatility Surface Analysis Based on SABR Model. IEEE International Conference on Industrial Informatics (INDIN), 2022-July, 662-667. |
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