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An analytically tractable solution for hierarchical Bayesian model updating with variational inference scheme
Jia, Xinyu1,2; Yan, Wang Ji1,2; Papadimitriou, Costas3; Yuen, Ka Veng1,2
2023-01-02
Source PublicationMechanical Systems and Signal Processing
ISSN0888-3270
Volume189Pages:110060
Abstract

The hierarchical Bayesian modelling (HBM) framework has recently been proposed to properly account for the model parameter uncertainty in structural dynamics. This framework postulates a hierarchical prior for the model parameters that depend on the hyper parameters to be identified using the multiple datasets. However, the number of hyper parameters increases linearly with the number of model parameters as well as the number of datasets, making the framework computationally challenging and analytically intractable. To this end, this study employs a variational inference scheme within the framework, deriving explicit expressions for the posterior distributions of the hyper parameters and further the predictive distribution of the model parameters so as to avoid resorting to sampling-based strategy, thus efficiently enhancing the computational efficiency of the HBM framework. In particular, the posterior distribution of the hyper parameters is derived as a Normal-Inverse-Wishart (NIW) distribution, and the predictive distribution of the model parameters are expressed as a normal distribution conditional on the samples of its hyper parameters. Such derivations offer valuable insights into the interpretations of different sources of uncertainties existing in the procedure of model updating. Specifically, it reveals that the ensemble uncertainty of the model parameters consists of both the identification uncertainty obtained from each dataset as well as the test-to-test variability across the overall datasets. Additionally, it suggests that, when the test-to-test variability dominates the uncertainty of the model parameters, the HBM framework with negligible identification uncertainty can reduce to the same expression with a frequentist perspective. Linear models with modal properties data and nonlinear models with time histories data of building systems are utilized to verify and demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework. Results indicate that the proposed formulations provide sufficiently accurate solutions with efficient computational performance, compared to the full sampling approach regarded as the reference of the HBM framework.

KeywordStructural Dynamics Hierarchical Bayesian Modelling Variational Inference Model Updating Response Predictions
DOI10.1016/j.ymssp.2022.110060
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEngineering
WOS SubjectEngineering, Mechanical
WOS IDWOS:000917899600001
PublisherACADEMIC PRESS LTD- ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD24-28 OVAL RD, LONDON NW1 7DX, ENGLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85145355876
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
Faculty of Science and Technology
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Corresponding AuthorYan, Wang Ji
Affiliation1.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, China
2.Guangdong–Hong Kong-Macau Joint Laboratory for Smart Cities, University of Macau, China
3.Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Thessaly, Volos, Greece
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Jia, Xinyu,Yan, Wang Ji,Papadimitriou, Costas,et al. An analytically tractable solution for hierarchical Bayesian model updating with variational inference scheme[J]. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 2023, 189, 110060.
APA Jia, Xinyu., Yan, Wang Ji., Papadimitriou, Costas., & Yuen, Ka Veng (2023). An analytically tractable solution for hierarchical Bayesian model updating with variational inference scheme. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 189, 110060.
MLA Jia, Xinyu,et al."An analytically tractable solution for hierarchical Bayesian model updating with variational inference scheme".Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing 189(2023):110060.
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