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Completion and augmentation-based spatiotemporal deep learning approach for short-term metro origin-destination matrix prediction under limited observable data
Jiexia Ye1; Juanjuan Zhao2; Furong Zheng2; Chengzhong Xu3
2022-10-09
Source PublicationNEURAL COMPUTING & APPLICATIONS
ISSN0941-0643
Volume35Issue:4Pages:3325 - 3341
Abstract

Accurate prediction of short-term origin-destination (OD) matrix is crucial for operations in metro systems. Recently, some deep learning-based models have been proposed for OD matrix forecasting in ride-hailing or high-way scenarios. However, the metro OD matrix forecasting receives less attention, and it has different prior knowledge and complex spatiotemporal contextual setting; for example, the sparse destination distribution and the incomplete OD matrices collection in recent time intervals due to unfinished trips before the predicted time interval. This paper designs a deep learning approach for metro OD matrix prediction by addressing the recent destination distribution availability, augmenting the flow presentation for each station, and digging out the global spatial dependency and multiple temporal scale correlations in the mobility patterns of metro passengers. Specifically, it first proposes to complete the recent OD matrices by combining some empirical knowledge including the historical mobility pattern and arrival time distribution. Then, it learns the complementary spatiotemporal contextual features by embedding methods to enrich the station representation. Finally, it captures global mobility trend of metro passengers at each origin station through aggregating the trend of all other origin stations by self-attention mechanism since the mobility synchronizes among stations from spatial perspective. Three temporal convolutional networks are leveraged to extract three temporal trends in passenger mobility data, i.e., recent trend, daily trend, and weekly trend. Smart card data from Shenzhen and Hangzhou metro systems are utilized to demonstrate the superiority of our model over other competitors.

KeywordOrigin-destination Matrix Prediction Destination Distribution Availability Self-attention Mechanism Temporal Convolution Network
DOI10.1007/s00521-022-07866-2
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
Funding ProjectEfficient Integration and Dynamic Cognitive Technology and Platform for Urban Public Services
WOS Research AreaComputer Science
WOS SubjectComputer Science, Artificial Intelligence
WOS IDWOS:000865380100001
PublisherSPRINGER LONDON LTD, 236 GRAYS INN RD, 6TH FLOOR, LONDON WC1X 8HL, ENGLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85139705417
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
Faculty of Science and Technology
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Corresponding AuthorJuanjuan Zhao
Affiliation1.Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Joint Laboratory of Human–Machine Intelligence-Synergy Systems, Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen, China
2.Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen, China
3.State Key Lab of IOTSC, Department of Computer Science, University of Macau, Macao
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Jiexia Ye,Juanjuan Zhao,Furong Zheng,et al. Completion and augmentation-based spatiotemporal deep learning approach for short-term metro origin-destination matrix prediction under limited observable data[J]. NEURAL COMPUTING & APPLICATIONS, 2022, 35(4), 3325 - 3341.
APA Jiexia Ye., Juanjuan Zhao., Furong Zheng., & Chengzhong Xu (2022). Completion and augmentation-based spatiotemporal deep learning approach for short-term metro origin-destination matrix prediction under limited observable data. NEURAL COMPUTING & APPLICATIONS, 35(4), 3325 - 3341.
MLA Jiexia Ye,et al."Completion and augmentation-based spatiotemporal deep learning approach for short-term metro origin-destination matrix prediction under limited observable data".NEURAL COMPUTING & APPLICATIONS 35.4(2022):3325 - 3341.
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