Status已發表Published
Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Activity: Evidence from China
Lei, C. H.; Chen, S
2019-12-01
Source PublicationSFM2019
AbstractFollowing Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016), we construct an appropriate economic policy uncertainty (EPU) measure for Chinese economy based on Chinese character search of newspapers, and compare our EPU index with Baker et al.'s China EPU index which is based on Hong Kong English news source. We find that Baker et al.’s index is a reasonable proxy for China’s EPU, but it omits some useful information. We further show that our China EPU index, especially our index based on mainland China’s newspaper, predicts China’s economic trends better than Baker et al.’s index. We also study the effects of different China EPU indices on Chinese listed firms’ stock price behavior, and find that the index based on mainland China’s newspaper is the best indicator to China A or B share listings’ stock price crash risk but the index based on outside mainland newspaper is better for H share listings’. The relationship is positive between A or H shares’ stock price crash risk and EPU, and negative for B share listings.
KeywordEconomic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) China’s economic trend stock price crash
Language英語English
The Source to ArticlePB_Publication
PUB ID53844
Document TypeConference paper
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS
Corresponding AuthorLei, C. H.
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Lei, C. H.,Chen, S. Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Activity: Evidence from China[C], 2019.
APA Lei, C. H.., & Chen, S (2019). Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Activity: Evidence from China. SFM2019.
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