Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Wind speed forecasting based on hybrid model with model selection and wind energy conversion | |
Chen Wang1; Shenghui Zhang2; Peng Liao3; Tonglin Fu4 | |
2022-08-01 | |
Source Publication | RENEWABLE ENERGY |
ISSN | 0960-1481 |
Volume | 196Pages:763-781 |
Abstract | As an important part of a power system, the usage of wind power is increasing rapidly and playing an indispensable role in energy planning. Therefore, efforts are needed to find and improve the accuracy of wind speed forecasting and the reliability of wind energy conversion, which play a vital role in the development of wind farms. In this paper, a novel multi-objective optimization algorithm is proposed to optimize the parameters of different models, a model selection strategy is used to select the optimal hybrid models for different datasets, to improve the accuracy and stability of the forecasting model. Wind power conversion is examined based on the wind speed forecasting, and found to be a feasible method for wind farms. The numerical results show that compared with the mean absolute percentage error values of the multi-hybrid models, that of the optimal model is reduced about 3%. Moreover, the standard deviation of the absolute percentage error is decreased about 3% for wind speed forecasting. In addition, the effectiveness of the model selection is verified using the onsite wind speed data of four wind farms, and the selected model is shown to be more reliable and accurate than other models. |
Keyword | Model Selection Wind Power Conversion Hybrid Models Wind Speed Forecasting |
DOI | 10.1016/j.renene.2022.06.143 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SCIE |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels |
WOS Subject | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Energy & Fuels |
WOS ID | WOS:000854033200001 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85134746867 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU) |
Corresponding Author | Shenghui Zhang |
Affiliation | 1.School of Advanced Energy, Sun Yat-Sen University, Shenzhen, Shenzhen, 518107, China 2.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, Department of Computer and Information Science Organization, University of Macau, Macau, China 3.School of Mathematics and Statistics, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Lanzhou, 730000, China 4.School of Mathematics and Statistics LongDong University, Qingyang, Qingyang, 745000, China |
Corresponding Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Chen Wang,Shenghui Zhang,Peng Liao,et al. Wind speed forecasting based on hybrid model with model selection and wind energy conversion[J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2022, 196, 763-781. |
APA | Chen Wang., Shenghui Zhang., Peng Liao., & Tonglin Fu (2022). Wind speed forecasting based on hybrid model with model selection and wind energy conversion. RENEWABLE ENERGY, 196, 763-781. |
MLA | Chen Wang,et al."Wind speed forecasting based on hybrid model with model selection and wind energy conversion".RENEWABLE ENERGY 196(2022):763-781. |
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