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Wind speed forecasting based on hybrid model with model selection and wind energy conversion
Chen Wang1; Shenghui Zhang2; Peng Liao3; Tonglin Fu4
2022-08-01
Source PublicationRENEWABLE ENERGY
ISSN0960-1481
Volume196Pages:763-781
Abstract

As an important part of a power system, the usage of wind power is increasing rapidly and playing an indispensable role in energy planning. Therefore, efforts are needed to find and improve the accuracy of wind speed forecasting and the reliability of wind energy conversion, which play a vital role in the development of wind farms. In this paper, a novel multi-objective optimization algorithm is proposed to optimize the parameters of different models, a model selection strategy is used to select the optimal hybrid models for different datasets, to improve the accuracy and stability of the forecasting model. Wind power conversion is examined based on the wind speed forecasting, and found to be a feasible method for wind farms. The numerical results show that compared with the mean absolute percentage error values of the multi-hybrid models, that of the optimal model is reduced about 3%. Moreover, the standard deviation of the absolute percentage error is decreased about 3% for wind speed forecasting. In addition, the effectiveness of the model selection is verified using the onsite wind speed data of four wind farms, and the selected model is shown to be more reliable and accurate than other models.

KeywordModel Selection Wind Power Conversion Hybrid Models Wind Speed Forecasting
DOI10.1016/j.renene.2022.06.143
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaScience & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS SubjectGreen & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Energy & Fuels
WOS IDWOS:000854033200001
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85134746867
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Corresponding AuthorShenghui Zhang
Affiliation1.School of Advanced Energy, Sun Yat-Sen University, Shenzhen, Shenzhen, 518107, China
2.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, Department of Computer and Information Science Organization, University of Macau, Macau, China
3.School of Mathematics and Statistics, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Lanzhou, 730000, China
4.School of Mathematics and Statistics LongDong University, Qingyang, Qingyang, 745000, China
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Chen Wang,Shenghui Zhang,Peng Liao,et al. Wind speed forecasting based on hybrid model with model selection and wind energy conversion[J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2022, 196, 763-781.
APA Chen Wang., Shenghui Zhang., Peng Liao., & Tonglin Fu (2022). Wind speed forecasting based on hybrid model with model selection and wind energy conversion. RENEWABLE ENERGY, 196, 763-781.
MLA Chen Wang,et al."Wind speed forecasting based on hybrid model with model selection and wind energy conversion".RENEWABLE ENERGY 196(2022):763-781.
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