Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
A Multi-Model Combination Approach for Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting | |
Lin, You1,2; Yang, Ming1; Wan, Can2; Wang, Jianhui3; Song, Yonghua2,4 | |
2019-01 | |
Source Publication | IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SUSTAINABLE ENERGY |
ISSN | 1949-3029 |
Volume | 10Issue:1Pages:226-237 |
Abstract | Short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting can provide critical quantified uncertainty information of wind generation for power system operation and control. It would be difficult to develop a universal forecasting model dominating over other alternative models because of the inherent stochastic nature of wind power. Therefore, a novel multi-model combination (MMC) approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting is proposed in this paper to exploit the advantages of different forecasting models. The proposed approach can combine different forecasting models those provide different kinds of probability density functions to improve the performance of probabilistic forecasting. Three probabilistic forecasting models based on the sparse Bayesian learning, kernel density estimation, and beta distribution fitting are used to form the combined model. The parameters of the MMC model are solved by two-step optimization. Comprehensive numerical studies illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed MMC approach. |
Keyword | Terms-multi-model Combination Probabilistic Forecasting Wind Power Uncertainty |
DOI | 10.1109/TSTE.2018.2831238 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SCIE |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels ; Engineering |
WOS Subject | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Electrical & Electronic |
WOS ID | WOS:000454223400022 |
Publisher | IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85046407492 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | Faculty of Science and Technology |
Corresponding Author | Wan, Can |
Affiliation | 1.Shandong Univ, Key Lab Power Syst Intelligent Dispatch & Control, Jinan 250061, Shandong, Peoples R China; 2.Zhejiang Univ, Coll Elect Engn, Hangzhou 310027, Peoples R China; 3.Southern Methodist Univ, Dept Elect Engn, Dallas, TX 75205 USA; 4.Univ Macau, Dept Elect & Comp Engn, Macau, Peoples R China |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Lin, You,Yang, Ming,Wan, Can,et al. A Multi-Model Combination Approach for Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting[J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SUSTAINABLE ENERGY, 2019, 10(1), 226-237. |
APA | Lin, You., Yang, Ming., Wan, Can., Wang, Jianhui., & Song, Yonghua (2019). A Multi-Model Combination Approach for Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SUSTAINABLE ENERGY, 10(1), 226-237. |
MLA | Lin, You,et al."A Multi-Model Combination Approach for Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting".IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SUSTAINABLE ENERGY 10.1(2019):226-237. |
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